The current electron flux is low, two orders of magnitude below the active threshold (1e6 rather than 1e8). This time on the last rotation (~10th December) the flux was often high and the fluence was actually above the active threshold. So going into the fast wind of CH56 we are looking at remaining mostly low to moderate on the flux, with perhaps some peaks into high (greater than 1000pfu) from day 3 onwards, but the overall 24-hour fluence is likely to remain below the active threshold of 1e8 at this time.