Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-02-08T00:17:53

The high energy electron flux at GEO is currently at very low background levels, generally below 10 pfu.  Any elevation in solar winds speeds from weak coronal hole influences over the next few days may increase the high energy electron flux slightly, but levels are still most likely to remain below the high threshold (1000 pfu). 

The corresponding 24 hour fluence is currently well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), so while some increase may occur in the next four days in response to any increased flux levels, it is unlikely to reach the Active threshold.