MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-07-08T00:15:14
High energy electron flux recorded at GOES16 has been at background levels and is likely to remain that way through the coming four days. A possible fast wind from CH51/- is not expected until Days 3-4 (10-11 Jul), with a response to this feature possible towards the end of this four day period.
The MOSWOC REFM output is considered good guidance, with a generally flat trend indicated through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-07-08T00:15:14 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |