MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-07-09T00:29:16
High energy electron flux recorded at GOES16 has been at background levels and is expected to remain that way through the forecast period, with no notable geomagnetic enhancements anticipated that would significantly affect the Van Allen belts.
MOSWOC REFM output is considered good guidance, with a generally flat trend indicated through the period, well below the Active 1e8 integrated flux threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-07-09T00:29:16 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |