Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-06-09T00:11:45

The high energy electron flux is expected to persist at Normal Background levels for much of this period - now rendered more likely by the anticipated inbound 08 June CME. CH42/+ influence during day 1 (09 June) now in all likelihood forms a minor component of the forecast, with any eventual reaction upwards now delayed until the final UTC day of the period, and even here only rated at a Slight Chance.

MOSWOC REFM output is viewed as limited for good guidance, although it maintains fluence below or well below the Active level as is anticipated. However, it cannot account for the incoming CME and its range is not sufficient to hint at any potential rise in the T+72-96 hour period.