MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-06-10T12:14:08
The high energy electron flux is likely to persist at background levels for much of this period, with any response to the recent high speed stream looking unlikely given the lack of response now that wind speeds have returned to background levels.
MOSWOC REFM output has been forecasting an increase in fluence above the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) level in the next 24 hours, but this appears unlikely to occur, with fluence expected to remain below Active through this period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-06-10T12:14:08 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |