MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-01-23T13:11:18
The high energy electron (greater than 2MeV) flux is uncertain due to the effects of multiple CME arrivals on the forecast, but will most likely remain at background levels during the next four days.
Electron fluence values reflect this uncertainty, with only a low probability of reaching the Active threshold, assuming a sharp and sustained increase in the electron flux.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-01-23T13:11:18 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |