Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-01-30T13:15:47

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has spent the whole of the past 27-day rotation below High levels, with an absence of significant drivers to alter this state given the expected lack of potent coronal hole fast winds. Persistence suggesting significant electron flux is unlikely following the current ongoing solar wind enhancement associated with CH94 and CH95, although the latter is at a high solar latitude for any Earth effects.

MOSWOC REFM's projections and persistence values both imply a continuation of the current quiet state, and this is the preferred forecast, although this risk increasingly slightly through the period.