MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-01-11T12:00:05
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) as measured by GOES-16 at GEO is currently at background, and in the absence of any significant enhancement is expected to persist at this level.
The associated 24 hour fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold, with REFM output currently viewed as providing generally good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-01-11T12:00:05 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |