MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-01-10T12:05:08
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) as measured by GOES-16 at GEO is currently at background, and in the absence of any significant enhancement is expected to persist at this level, although brief periods of Moderate flux are possible Days 2-4 (11-13 Jan).
The associated 24 hour fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold, with REFM output currently viewed as providing good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-01-10T12:05:08 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |