MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-04-19T00:29:22
The high energy electron flux as observed by GOES-16 at GEO has been oscillating between moderate and high levels through much of the days and is expected to continue at this level through much of the next four days, presuming an absence of significant geomagnetic activity.
Electron fluence levels are likely to rise through the next four days in the presence of the high electron flux. There is an increasing likelihood of the Active threshold being breached at the period progresses.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2022-04-19T00:29:22 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 60% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 60% | 1% |