MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-05-07T00:10:55
The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux mat show a slight rising trend today and tomorrow (7th and 8th) following a recent weak high speed stream influence, whilst remaining at background to moderate levels.
The associated 24 hour electron fluence is forecast to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) level, although with a slight rising trend likely through the first two days of the period, and this is indicated by latest REFM data, which is considered good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-05-07T00:10:55 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |