MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-04-28T00:02:05
Slightly elevated solar winds to start may bring an increase in electron counts through day 1 (28th), and a commensurate increase in 24 hour integrated fluence, but this unlikely to reach the Active (>1e8 integrated pfu) threshold through this period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-04-28T00:02:05 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |