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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-01-13T00:20:29

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) values are expected to remain at background or moderate levels through the next 4 days, in the presence of a waning solar wind. Corresponding electron fluence values are forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, with no significant inputs from the solar wind.

 

 


 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2021-01-13T00:20:29
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 1% 1%
Day 4 1% 1%