MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-12-14T00:14:04
There are no CMEs that feature in the forecast. In addition, there is though to be only one minor returning coronal hole at the very end of the four days (CH04/+). This likely leaves insufficient time for even a limp response in the 24-hour integrated fluence, and the Active threshold is not expected to be troubled in the period. The high energy electron flux may see a very late rise to Moderate levels (100-1000pfu) from a preceding habit within Normal Background.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-12-14T00:14:04 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |