MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-01-02T00:10:21
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain below the Alert level throughout. Corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence is expected to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. This is supported by the REFM model, and the 27-day recurrence, both of which strongly indicate a below-Active trend.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-01-02T00:10:21 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |