Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-12-29T00:11:04

High energy electron flux levels showed a lower diurnal amplitude than the previous UTC day, and the 24-hour integrated fluence has responded in kind by falling away.

Exceedence of the Active fluence threshold now looks increasingly unlikely in the four-day period, and probabilities have been lowered to reflect this. The start of January is more likely to elicit a response from electron flux with a possible non-recurrent large coronal hole lurking near the eastern limb at present, however this is beyond the scope of analysis at present.