MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-11-03T00:13:25
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) has seen still more attenuation in its diurnal cycle relative to recent days, and any rebound is now considered very unlikely. With no obvious sources to increase electron counts in the near-Earth environment in the period apart from a possible peripheral influence of CH92 to end the four days, the prospects of Active 24-hour integrated electron fluence are considered low, albeit rising slightly into the coming weekend (UTC).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-11-03T00:13:25 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |