MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-10-12T00:16:16
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV), as observed by GOES-16, should continue on its slight downward course in the forecast period, with no obvious mechanism to substantially increase electron populations in the near-Earth environment in the period. The corresponding 24-hour electron fluence is expected to remain comfortably below the Active threshold throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-10-12T00:16:16 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |