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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-06-06T00:00:32

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to stay at mainly background levels, with the corresponding 24-hour fluence forecast to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu). Both the REFM forecast and the 27-day recurrence strongly suggest low fluence levels will continue throughout.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2020-06-06T00:00:32
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 1% 1%
Day 4 1% 1%