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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-05-27T00:07:26

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to stay at mainly background levels, possibly reaching moderate levels if we see slightly elevated wind speeds from the two weak coronal holes expected over the next few days. Corresponding electron fluence values are expected to stay well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2020-05-27T00:07:26
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 1% 1%
Day 4 1% 1%