MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-12-13T00:04:17
The high energy electron flux is expected to remain at normal background levels through the period, with the corresponding 24-hour fluence persisting well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu). This is supported by both the REFM forecast model, and the 27-day recurrence, which have levels remaining very low during the forecast period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-12-13T00:04:17 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 2% | 1% |