Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-18T00:03:13

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain below the 1000 pfu alert threshold for the next 3 days. An increase above the alert threshold is expected on Day 4 (21 Nov) due to the influence of positive coronal hole 83. The corresponding 24-hour fluence will therefore also remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) for the next 3 days, with an increase expected on Day 4. This is supported by looking at the effects of this coronal hole on the electrons from the last rotation.