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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-10-19T00:11:24

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is likely to stay at background or moderate levels through much of the forecast period, based on persistence. High levels may be reached on diurnal peak on days 3 and 4.

Electron fluence values are well below the Active threshold and are likely to remain so over the next 4 days.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2019-10-19T00:11:24
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 5% 1%
Day 3 10% 1%
Day 4 10% 1%