MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-30T00:49:06
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is at high (1e3pfu) levels and is expected to remain so for the remainder of the forecast period, due to the elevated high speed stream.
Related electron fluence values are above the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold and are likely to exceed the Very Active (1e9 integrated pfu) threshold either late on day 1, or during day 2 in response to the high levels of electron flux.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-09-30T00:49:06 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 100% |
| Day 2 | 95% | 80% |
| Day 3 | 90% | 60% |
| Day 4 | 90% | 30% |