MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-07-02T00:01:44
The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux is currently at very low background with no sources of enhanced electron counts expected to move across the Earth during much of the forecast period (until day 4 with the high speed solar wind from CH36). The associated 24 hour fluence is therefore highly likely to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, perhaps even during day 4 but with a slight rising trend through the day.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-07-02T00:01:44 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |