MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-05-24T00:09:33
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) at geostationary orbit is expected persist at background to moderate levels, due to the background to occasionally slightly elevated solar wind.
The corresponding electron fluence is therefore expected to remain well below the Active threshold throughout the period. This is supported by the REFM model, which suggests the continuation of the current low levels.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-05-24T00:09:33 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |