MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-11-17T00:21:35
Coronal hole 47 is forecast to affect Earth from day 2, Sunday 18 November. But as the solar wind speed, as indicated by STEREO A, is likely to only increase to slightly elevated levels, and because the coronal hole itself is fragmented, there is not expected to be a significant increase in the high energy electron fluence. Therefore the fluence is expected to remain below the high threshold throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-11-17T00:21:35 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |