help
Home HOME
 
month‹‹‹ week‹‹ day‹ ›››month ››week ›day
 

MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-06-08T00:21:07

The high energy electrons started the previous 24 hours at high levels, but quickly decreased to normal background to moderate levels, before increasing above the high threshold again between 07/1425-2340 UTC. A similar diurnal oscillation is expected today and tomorrow, with high flux levels potentially temporarily being reached. However, overall the electron counts will continue to decrease. Therefore the high energy electron fluence is likely to remain below the high threshold, which is has currently just dipped below.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2018-06-08T00:21:07
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 40% 1%
Day 2 20% 1%
Day 3 10% 1%
Day 4 10% 1%