MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-01-23T00:07:34
REFM models predict a slow rise in the high energy electron (greater than 2MeV) fluence over the next couple of days. However, despite this rising trend it looks unlikely that the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) will be reached at present in this period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-01-23T00:07:34 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |