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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-01-22T00:12:11

Solar windspeeds have not increased to the extent expected over the past 24 hours, so the means to repopulate electron populations at geosynchronous Earth orbit are limited. The trend for the chances of exceeding Active 24-hour integrated fluence is upward, but only weakly.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2018-01-22T00:12:11
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 10% 1%
Day 2 20% 1%
Day 3 30% 1%
Day 4 30% 1%