MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-01-21T00:05:22
Solar windspeeds have not increased to the extent expected over the past 24 hours, so while the Unsettled geomagnetic activity has dented electron populations at geosynchronous Earth orbit, the means to repopulate are limited. The trend for the chances of exceeding Active 24-hour integrated fluence is upward, but perhaps more weakly than indicated in past guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-01-21T00:05:22 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |