MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-01-20T00:01:34
Electron flux levels have again fallen to background levels through the past 24 hours. This is now reflected in a declining trend in fluence levels. Although flux levels should rise as a result of the two anticipated Coronal Hole high speed streams this period, there is only a low likelihood of flux levels reaching the active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-01-20T00:01:34 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |