MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-01-13T00:06:27
The flux of 2MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit is likely to rise slightly in the wake of the high speed stream from coronal hole 59, but the magnitude reached is unlikely to cause the 24-hour fluence to breach the Active 1e8 pfu threshold. If this scenario plays out it will be markedly less than was observed with the previous rotation when Active levels were breached.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-01-13T00:06:27 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |