MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-01-10T00:06:01
REFM models indicate a rising trend for electron fluence over the next few days in the wake of the current high speed stream. However, it seems marginal at present as to whether levels will reach the Active threshold (1e8 pfu).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-01-10T00:06:01 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 50% | 1% |