MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-06-25T00:27:34
High energy electron flux, as observed by GOES-16, has been at background. With no notable sources of enhancement forecast, flux is expected to persist at this level.
Associated electron fluence is expected to persist well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), with MOSWOC REFM output considered to be giving good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-06-25T00:27:34 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |