MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-05-01T12:26:44
High energy electron flux is at background levels. Combined minor CME and coronal hole influences through the period are likely to suppress electron flux to background to moderate levels throughout the period.
Overall, the 24 hour integrated electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, with MOSWOC REFM output a good guidance at present.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-05-01T12:26:44 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |