MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-06-01T00:11:57
GOES-16 electron flux is expected to remain at background to moderate levels on all days, with no significant sources of enhancement anticipated given only modest CME and coronal hole influences in the forecast. The associated 24 hour electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active level, as supported by MOSWOC REFM, which is giving reasonable guidance for the expected trend through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-06-01T00:11:57 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |