MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-02-20T13:13:34
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be muted through much of the period, with no recurrent feature on the disc having proved capable of generating Active fluence in the past rotation. The only source of enhancement possible in the period is the connection with CH91 late on Day 4 (23rd Feb), but this is likely to have limited charging of the electron belts. MOSWOC REFM is also not indicating any significant enhancement in the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-02-20T13:13:34 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |