Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-01-26T13:10:12

The high energy electron (greater than 2MeV) flux is most likely to remain at background levels for much of this period. Towards the end of the period, any waning CME effects could see electron flux begin to rise. A rise in the high energy electron flux could be aided by the potential arrival of a HSS through day 4 (29th), most likely from CH94 but possibly from CH95 as well.

Electron fluence is expected to stay below Active (1e8 integrated pfu), although with a rising trend late in the period. REFM is currently providing a good guidance, keeping the fluence well below the Active threshold. However, a slightly increasing trend is preferred over the next 3 days.