MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-05-14T00:01:14
High energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is expected to be at background levels through days 1-3 but may rise on day 4 (17th) once the high speed stream originating from CH81/+ becomes established. The corresponding electron fluence is therefore expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold during the forecast period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2022-05-14T00:01:14 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |