Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-02-15T00:42:03

Earth remains under the influence of CH53/-, with high energy electrons now having responded by rising to a mostly High flux diurnal oscillation. In the absence of any further impetus in the four-day period, current levels should be maintained initially, but with increasing uncertainty with time and perhaps a gradual ebb.

Current levels are proving similar to the last rotation, where the Active 24-hour integrated fluence threshold was marginally exceeded each day. This gives us greater than usual confidence that Active fluence levels are expected in the four-day period, with REFM likely providing a good guide to fluence trends.