Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-10-20T00:02:36

The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux is likely to reach moderate levels through the diurnal cycle at first, and perhaps more generally later in the period, once any increased geomagnetic activity from anticipated coronal hole influences begin subsiding. However, the timing and strength of connection with the coronal hole high speed stream remains only moderate confidence, due to the differing size and location of  CH13/- on this rotation. 

Associated electron fluence is expected to remain below the active threshold, but is likely to see a more significant rising trend later in the period.