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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-10-10T00:29:50

The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux is currently at background levels, but some increase in electron counts would be expected in association with any enhancements to wind speeds under weak coronal hole influences or CME’s. However, any increase is likely to have limited effect on the current background levels of electron fluence during this forecats period.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2021-10-10T00:29:50
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 5% 1%
Day 2 5% 1%
Day 3 2% 1%
Day 4 2% 1%