MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-06-28T00:14:35
The high energy electron flux is expected to remain at background to moderate levels during the period, although with the possible arrival of a CME late on day 3 (30th June) or early day 4 (1st July), there may be a more general rise in electron counts by the end of day 4.
The associated 24 hour fluence is expected to remain well below the active threshold during this period, as suggested by current REFM data.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-06-28T00:14:35 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |