MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-06-13T00:28:06
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain at mainly background levels through days 1 and 2 (13 and 14 June). Increasingly moderate levels are then possible on days 3 and 4, with high (1e3pfu) levels then possible later on day 4 once the high speed streams from coronal hole 68 and 69 become established.
Electron fluence values are forecast to be below the Active threshold throughout the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-06-13T00:28:06 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |