MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-06-24T00:12:03
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) as measured by GOES-16, is expected to be at normal background to moderate levels. With no sources of significant enhancement forecast, the corresponding 24-hour electron fluence is expected to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. This is supported by the REFM forecast.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-06-24T00:12:03 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |