MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-05-25T00:01:15
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) as measured by GOES-16 is likely to reach moderate values on diurnal peaks through the period, especially on days 3 and 4 following the potential connection with an unnumbered coronal hole. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is forecast to remain well below the Active threshold, this is confirmed by the REFM and the 27-day recurrence, both indicative of very low levels of fluence.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-05-25T00:01:15 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 3% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 4% | 1% |