MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-01-27T00:27:21
Note that any increase in activity from the possible 25 January CME is likely to fall outside this four-day forecast period, and as such does not feature in the below forecast.
There are currently no recurrent features on the entire sun that have proved capable of generating Active electron fluence. So, while an increase in solar wind speed and electron flux is possible towards midweek, there is not expected to be any appreciable effect on electron counts in the van Allen belts.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-01-27T00:27:21 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |