Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-03-18T00:06:07

High energy electron fluence has recently plateaued near 2e8 24 hour integrated pfu, with the connection to coronal hole 79 now looking more intermittent as we reach the fragmenting eastern end of the feature and the phi angle wavers. There is unlikely to be sufficient impetus to now promote electron counts into the Very Active bracket, with a continuation of the current diurnal flux pattern most likely in the coming days, and fluence counts in the low end of Active.